Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Kreider wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kreider 45.8% vs Guentzel 46.9% (-6.4%)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 57.1%
Defensive zone
Kreider 51.9%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 50.9%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Kreider
Guentzel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kreider
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
37.3% (59)
46.1% (256)
-8.8%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
47.5% (122)
+27.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
16.7% (6)
+23.3%
On power play, Kreider has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Kreider is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Kreider shoots left. Guentzel is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
Kreider
Guentzel
Home
42.9% (35)
49.3% (201)
Away
36.4% (33)
42.6% (183)
By Period
Kreider
Guentzel
P1
41.4%
49.6%
P2
37.9%
45.6%
P3
40.0%
41.6%
Final 5 min
45.5%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kreider
44.0%▲
38.0%
39.7%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.1%