Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kreider 47.8% vs Guentzel 50.0% (-4.8%)
Offensive zone
Kreider 66.3%
Defensive zone
Guentzel 51.1%
Neutral zone
Kreider 51.0%
Result
Chris Kreider favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Kreider
Guentzel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kreider
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (70)
46.2% (13)
+0.9%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
100.0% (2)
-66.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
0.0% (1)
+40.0%
On power play, Guentzel has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Kreider is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (51).
Kreider shoots left. Guentzel is 66.7% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Kreider
Guentzel
Home
40.5% (42)
75.0% (8)
Away
50.0% (42)
25.0% (8)
By Period
Kreider
Guentzel
P1
44.8%
62.5%
P2
46.9%
50.0%
P3
45.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
63.2%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kreider
44.0%▲
38.0%
45.2%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
50.0%