Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Kreider wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kreider 49.4% vs Guentzel 50.4% (-3.1%)
Offensive zone
Kreider 71.0%
Defensive zone
Guentzel 56.2%
Neutral zone
Kreider 53.3%
Result
Chris Kreider favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Kreider
Guentzel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kreider
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (125)
45.0% (20)
+4.6%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
75.0% (4)
-41.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Guentzel has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Kreider is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Kreider shoots left. Guentzel is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Home / Away
Kreider
Guentzel
Home
45.3% (64)
56.3% (16)
Away
52.1% (73)
44.4% (9)
By Period
Kreider
Guentzel
P1
51.1%
20.0%
P2
49.1%
57.1%
P3
48.5%
80.0%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
35.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kreider
44.0%▲
38.0%
48.9%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
52.0%