Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 51.9% vs Tierney 50.8% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 52.8%
Defensive zone
Tierney 71.4%
Neutral zone
Tierney 61.5%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Matthews
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Matthews
Tierney
Last 5: Matthews 1-4 Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Tierney
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
0
2
Matthews
Tierney
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
0
1
Matthews
Tierney
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (892)
52.1% (844)
+0.3%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
50.7% (75)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
42.7% (124)
-5.2%
On power play, Tierney has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Matthews is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (606).
Matthews shoots left. Tierney is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Home / Away
Matthews
Tierney
Home
54.3% (420)
51.2% (521)
Away
50.3% (491)
50.6% (522)
By Period
Matthews
Tierney
P1
54.2%
49.3%
P2
54.3%
50.4%
P3
47.8%
53.4%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.1%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2019 | 1 | 05:45 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 13:02 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 12:45 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 07:13 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 11:41 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |