Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tierney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.5% vs Tierney 50.9% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 16-6 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 76.8%
Defensive zone
Horvat 53.8%
Neutral zone
Horvat 60.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Horvat
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
6
(22 meetings)
16
6
Horvat
Tierney
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
7
1
Horvat
Tierney
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
4
Horvat
Tierney
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
1
Horvat
Tierney
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (994)
50.1% (774)
+3.0%
Power Play
57.1% (212)
52.7% (74)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
53.4% (118)
56.5% (108)
-3.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (861).
Horvat shoots left. Tierney is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Horvat
Tierney
Home
53.0% (673)
52.6% (483)
Away
54.5% (651)
49.5% (473)
By Period
Horvat
Tierney
P1
51.9%
51.9%
P2
54.8%
47.4%
P3
54.3%
54.1%
OT
58.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.9%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.8%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 05:24 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 01:43 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 12:38 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 01:47 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 01:43 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 17:44 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 18:40 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 14:33 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 04:57 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 03:06 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 13:24 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 1 | 15:46 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 1 | 08:41 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |