Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Tierney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.9% vs Tierney 51.1% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 87.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 61.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 73.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Horvat
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Horvat
Tierney
Last 8: Horvat 7-1 Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Tierney
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Tierney
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Tierney
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,134)
51.2% (767)
+5.1%
Power Play
64.3% (263)
50.7% (73)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (85)
51.1% (178)
-1.7%
On power play, Horvat has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Horvat shoots left. Tierney is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
Horvat
Tierney
Home
57.3% (742)
48.6% (552)
Away
57.4% (741)
54.3% (466)
By Period
Horvat
Tierney
P1
59.0%
51.3%
P2
59.7%
46.5%
P3
53.6%
55.3%
OT
55.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
59.3%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.3%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 08:16 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 03:27 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 1 | 13:24 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 1 | 03:23 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |