Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 50.9% vs McDavid 42.2% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 81.8%
Defensive zone
Tierney 91.9%
Neutral zone
Tierney 88.6%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 89.2%
89.2%
10.8%
Tierney
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Tierney
McDavid
Last 5: Tierney 4-1 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
McDavid
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
1
Tierney
McDavid
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
McDavid
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (774)
41.4% (855)
+8.7%
Power Play
52.7% (74)
47.8% (23)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (108)
35.5% (31)
+21.0%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Tierney is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Tierney shoots left. McDavid is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Home / Away
Tierney
McDavid
Home
52.6% (483)
42.8% (451)
Away
49.5% (473)
40.0% (458)
By Period
Tierney
McDavid
P1
51.9%
38.0%
P2
47.4%
44.9%
P3
54.1%
41.7%
OT
66.7%
20.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2018 | OT | 01:35 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 3 | 16:04 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 2 | 08:32 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |