Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 59.7% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 54.8% vs McDavid 51.0% (+6.1%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 70.5%
Defensive zone
Tierney 53.9%
Neutral zone
McDavid 54.4%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Tierney
McDavid
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (179)
51.6% (803)
+5.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
50.0% (40)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
64.3% (14)
36.4% (22)
+27.9%
On power play, McDavid has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Tierney is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Tierney shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Home / Away
Tierney
McDavid
Home
62.3% (77)
51.8% (415)
Away
53.8% (117)
50.4% (450)
By Period
Tierney
McDavid
P1
61.1%
47.5%
P2
60.0%
51.6%
P3
49.1%
55.5%
Final 5 min
62.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
57.2%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%