Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs McDavid 51.8% (-4.9%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 57.6%
Defensive zone
Tierney 50.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 51.8%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Tierney
McDavid
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
51.5% (889)
-4.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
63.9% (36)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
51.2% (86)
-3.7%
On even strength, McDavid has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Tierney is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Tierney shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Tierney
McDavid
Home
47.9% (121)
50.7% (513)
Away
46.1% (115)
53.2% (498)
By Period
Tierney
McDavid
P1
44.1%
52.3%
P2
50.0%
51.6%
P3
46.3%
51.7%
Final 5 min
52.4%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%