Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.8% vs McDavid 53.4% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 70.4%
Defensive zone
Tierney 52.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 52.9%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Tierney
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tierney
McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
McDavid
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (454)
54.3% (1,002)
-3.9%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
44.8% (29)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
33.3% (15)
+3.5%
On even strength, McDavid has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Tierney is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (315).
Tierney shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Tierney
McDavid
Home
53.3% (289)
53.6% (507)
Away
45.5% (242)
53.8% (539)
By Period
Tierney
McDavid
P1
50.9%
52.6%
P2
46.7%
54.1%
P3
52.1%
54.9%
Final 5 min
44.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 10:35 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |