Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 51.2%). Look for Tierney on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 51.1% vs Lazar 51.0% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 58.4%
Defensive zone
Tierney 52.5%
Neutral zone
Tierney 52.8%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Tierney
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Tierney
Lazar
Last 5: Tierney 4-1 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
0
Tierney
Lazar
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Lazar
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (767)
53.8% (286)
-2.6%
Power Play
50.7% (73)
33.3% (3)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (178)
41.7% (72)
+9.4%
On power play, Tierney has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Tierney is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Tierney shoots left. Lazar is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Tierney
Lazar
Home
48.6% (552)
53.1% (211)
Away
54.3% (466)
48.7% (150)
By Period
Tierney
Lazar
P1
51.3%
45.3%
P2
46.5%
52.8%
P3
55.3%
54.7%
OT
60.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
51.2%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2020 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 1 | 00:39 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 28, 2020 | 1 | 10:37 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 28, 2020 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 13:03 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |