Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 38.6% vs right-shot opponents — Lazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs Lazar 51.1% (-4.5%)
Offensive zone
Lazar 52.0%
Defensive zone
Lazar 54.8%
Neutral zone
Lazar 51.6%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Tierney
Lazar
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
52.9% (242)
-6.3%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
100.0% (3)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
33.3% (27)
+14.2%
On power play, Lazar has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Tierney is 38.6% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Tierney shoots left. Lazar is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Home / Away
Tierney
Lazar
Home
47.9% (121)
57.1% (119)
Away
46.1% (115)
47.1% (153)
By Period
Tierney
Lazar
P1
44.1%
53.1%
P2
50.0%
52.2%
P3
46.3%
48.8%
Final 5 min
52.4%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.5%