Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.7% vs 48.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.8% vs Lazar 49.2% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 69.6%
Defensive zone
Lazar 57.3%
Neutral zone
Tierney 50.5%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Tierney
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Tierney
Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
Lazar
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
1
Tierney
Lazar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (454)
51.3% (232)
-0.9%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
0.0% (1)
+48.3%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
37.8% (45)
-1.0%
On power play, Tierney has a +48.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Tierney is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Tierney shoots left. Lazar is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Tierney
Lazar
Home
53.3% (289)
43.5% (131)
Away
45.5% (242)
53.7% (147)
By Period
Tierney
Lazar
P1
50.9%
53.8%
P2
46.7%
50.5%
P3
52.1%
41.2%
Final 5 min
44.6%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 12:41 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 03:01 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 12:09 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |