Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.1%). Look for Tierney on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Lazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Lazar 49.2% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Tierney leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Tierney 52.7%
Defensive zone
Lazar 52.0%
Neutral zone
Lazar 51.5%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Tierney
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Tierney
Lazar
Last 10: Tierney 8-2 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
7
0
Tierney
Lazar
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
4
Tierney
Lazar
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
Lazar
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
50.2% (2,658)
-0.9%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
52.3% (65)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
41.9% (415)
+4.7%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. Lazar is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,281).
Home / Away
Tierney
Lazar
Home
50.6% (3,270)
50.1% (1,542)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
48.2% (1,596)
By Period
Tierney
Lazar
P1
49.3%
48.9%
P2
47.7%
48.9%
P3
50.5%
49.5%
OT
47.4%
56.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 12:41 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 03:01 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 12:09 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 1 | 00:39 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 28, 2020 | 1 | 10:37 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 28, 2020 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 13:03 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 05:28 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 17:43 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 10:01 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 01:10 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |