Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.8% vs Ryan 54.9% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 82.7%
Defensive zone
Tierney 70.9%
Neutral zone
Tierney 70.0%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Tierney
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Tierney
Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
2
Tierney
Ryan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
2
Tierney
Ryan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (454)
60.2% (387)
-9.8%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
28.6% (7)
+19.7%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
43.2% (118)
-6.4%
On power play, Tierney has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Tierney is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Tierney shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Tierney
Ryan
Home
53.3% (289)
56.7% (254)
Away
45.5% (242)
55.0% (258)
By Period
Tierney
Ryan
P1
50.9%
56.9%
P2
46.7%
51.7%
P3
52.1%
59.2%
Final 5 min
44.6%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 09:05 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |