Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 38.6% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs Ryan 50.0% (-3.0%)
Offensive zone
Tierney 56.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 62.2%
Neutral zone
Ryan 52.1%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Tierney
Ryan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
50.9% (344)
-4.3%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
75.0% (4)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
45.3% (86)
+2.2%
On power play, Ryan has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Tierney is 38.6% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Tierney shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Tierney
Ryan
Home
47.9% (121)
53.7% (214)
Away
46.1% (115)
46.4% (220)
By Period
Tierney
Ryan
P1
44.1%
45.0%
P2
50.0%
50.0%
P3
46.3%
54.6%
Final 5 min
52.4%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%