Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 15 meetings). Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Ryan 55.2% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 22-11 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Tierney 84.3%
Defensive zone
Tierney 75.0%
Neutral zone
Tierney 86.7%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
Tierney
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
22
(33 meetings)
11
22
Tierney
Ryan
Last 10: Tierney 1-9 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
13
Tierney
Ryan
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
4
Tierney
Ryan
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
6
5
Tierney
Ryan
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
56.6% (4,102)
-7.3%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
53.2% (342)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
47.8% (649)
-1.2%
On even strength, Ryan has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Home / Away
Tierney
Ryan
Home
50.6% (3,270)
56.2% (2,559)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
54.4% (2,534)
By Period
Tierney
Ryan
P1
49.3%
55.1%
P2
47.7%
54.7%
P3
50.5%
56.0%
OT
47.4%
58.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 09:05 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 3 | 11:21 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 04:55 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 04:48 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 01:54 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 01:44 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 15:14 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 02:21 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 05:39 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 10:14 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 07:42 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 17:19 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 3 | 18:26 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 02:24 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |