Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Evans 52.2% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Tierney leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Tierney 58.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 75.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 58.7%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Tierney
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
7
(19 meetings)
12
7
Tierney
Evans
Last 10: Tierney 6-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
7
1
Tierney
Evans
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
4
1
Tierney
Evans
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
5
Tierney
Evans
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
53.8% (3,695)
-4.5%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
60.0% (70)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
47.1% (1,222)
-0.5%
On power play, Evans has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Home / Away
Tierney
Evans
Home
50.6% (3,270)
53.4% (2,593)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
51.0% (2,394)
By Period
Tierney
Evans
P1
49.3%
54.0%
P2
47.7%
50.9%
P3
50.5%
52.0%
OT
47.4%
46.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 04:11 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 10:24 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 04:40 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 08:12 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1 | 05:58 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 07:11 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 09:44 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 11:01 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 10:48 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 03:01 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 1 | 15:43 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 1 | 09:57 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 2 | 02:27 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 2 | 02:17 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |