Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.7% vs 49.8%). Look for Tierney on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.8% vs Evans 49.8% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 74.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 60.3%
Neutral zone
Tierney 58.2%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Tierney
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Tierney
Evans
Last 6: Tierney 5-1 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
5
0
Tierney
Evans
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Tierney
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (454)
51.3% (739)
-0.9%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
53.3% (15)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
43.0% (172)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Tierney is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Tierney shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Home / Away
Tierney
Evans
Home
53.3% (289)
52.1% (503)
Away
45.5% (242)
47.0% (423)
By Period
Tierney
Evans
P1
50.9%
50.5%
P2
46.7%
47.7%
P3
52.1%
51.3%
Final 5 min
44.6%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 04:11 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 10:24 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |