Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 54.8% vs Evans 52.0% (+5.0%)
Offensive zone
Tierney 68.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 74.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 54.1%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Tierney
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (179)
54.4% (807)
+2.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
55.0% (20)
-55.0%
Penalty Kill
64.3% (14)
46.1% (310)
+18.2%
On power play, Evans has a +55.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Tierney is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Tierney shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Tierney
Evans
Home
62.3% (77)
53.7% (581)
Away
53.8% (117)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Tierney
Evans
P1
61.1%
54.6%
P2
60.0%
50.0%
P3
49.1%
52.3%
Final 5 min
62.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
57.2%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%