Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 38.6% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs Evans 51.7% (-5.0%)
Offensive zone
Tierney 58.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 60.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 51.9%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Tierney
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
54.5% (483)
-7.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
58.3% (12)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
43.9% (155)
+3.6%
On power play, Tierney has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Tierney is 38.6% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Tierney shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Home / Away
Tierney
Evans
Home
47.9% (121)
49.4% (336)
Away
46.1% (115)
54.8% (314)
By Period
Tierney
Evans
P1
44.1%
55.8%
P2
50.0%
51.7%
P3
46.3%
48.2%
Final 5 min
52.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%