Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tierney wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 46.2% vs Evans 50.1% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Tierney leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Evans 64.6%
Defensive zone
Tierney 53.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 59.4%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Tierney
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Tierney
Evans
Last 10: Tierney 5-5 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
1
Tierney
Evans
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
4
0
Tierney
Evans
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
5
Tierney
Evans
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (487)
52.2% (320)
-5.8%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
100.0% (2)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (94)
41.0% (83)
-2.7%
On power play, Evans has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Tierney is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Tierney shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Tierney
Evans
Home
49.3% (286)
54.3% (223)
Away
42.1% (304)
45.1% (182)
By Period
Tierney
Evans
P1
48.5%
53.9%
P2
41.1%
44.9%
P3
48.1%
52.5%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
36.2%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
45.6%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 04:40 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 08:12 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1 | 05:58 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 07:11 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 09:44 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 11:01 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 10:48 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 03:01 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 1 | 15:43 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 1 | 09:57 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 2 | 02:27 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 2 | 02:17 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |