Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.8% vs Hayes 43.8% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 61.9%
Defensive zone
Tierney 76.7%
Neutral zone
Tierney 67.4%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Tierney
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Tierney
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Tierney
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (454)
42.7% (478)
+7.7%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
42.9% (98)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
45.2% (31)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Tierney is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (315).
Tierney shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Tierney
Hayes
Home
53.3% (289)
43.5% (232)
Away
45.5% (242)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Tierney
Hayes
P1
50.9%
40.1%
P2
46.7%
44.8%
P3
52.1%
42.4%
Final 5 min
44.6%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 05:36 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 3 | 15:54 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 2 | 14:17 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |