Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs Hayes 49.5% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 69.7%
Defensive zone
Tierney 73.2%
Neutral zone
Hayes 53.6%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Tierney
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tierney
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
48.5% (557)
-1.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
53.3% (107)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
58.3% (12)
-10.8%
On power play, Tierney has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Tierney is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Tierney shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Tierney
Hayes
Home
47.9% (121)
50.8% (313)
Away
46.1% (115)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Tierney
Hayes
P1
44.1%
52.3%
P2
50.0%
47.7%
P3
46.3%
48.4%
Final 5 min
52.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 18:13 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |