Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.2% vs 57.0%). Tierney wins 59.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 54.8% vs Hayes 56.3% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 54.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 50.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 54.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Tierney
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tierney
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (179)
56.6% (724)
+0.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
57.0% (79)
-57.0%
Penalty Kill
64.3% (14)
65.7% (35)
-1.4%
On power play, Hayes has a +57.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Tierney is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Tierney shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Home / Away
Tierney
Hayes
Home
62.3% (77)
58.0% (405)
Away
53.8% (117)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Tierney
Hayes
P1
61.1%
54.7%
P2
60.0%
55.7%
P3
49.1%
60.2%
Final 5 min
62.5%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
57.2%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2023 | 2 | 09:54 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |