Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 51.0%). Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 50.9% vs Dowd 50.8% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 69.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 66.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 50.9%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Tierney
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Tierney
Dowd
Last 5: Tierney 2-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
3
Tierney
Dowd
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (774)
51.6% (343)
-1.5%
Power Play
52.7% (74)
50.0% (2)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (108)
47.1% (51)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Tierney is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Tierney shoots left. Dowd is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
Tierney
Dowd
Home
52.6% (483)
43.0% (172)
Away
49.5% (473)
57.1% (224)
By Period
Tierney
Dowd
P1
51.9%
47.4%
P2
47.4%
60.6%
P3
54.1%
44.7%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 14:58 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 3 | 08:24 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 2 | 06:29 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |