Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 38.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs Dowd 50.7% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 70.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 85.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 60.6%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Tierney
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Tierney
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
55.2% (625)
-8.6%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
57.1% (7)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
38.2% (220)
+9.3%
On power play, Tierney has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Tierney is 38.6% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Tierney shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Tierney
Dowd
Home
47.9% (121)
53.7% (445)
Away
46.1% (115)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Tierney
Dowd
P1
44.1%
48.8%
P2
50.0%
49.3%
P3
46.3%
54.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 14:27 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 02:01 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 09:51 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |