Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 54.8% vs Dowd 48.3% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 87.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 84.6%
Neutral zone
Tierney 57.6%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Tierney
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Tierney
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (179)
49.2% (778)
+7.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
58.3% (12)
-58.3%
Penalty Kill
64.3% (14)
44.0% (234)
+20.3%
On power play, Dowd has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Tierney is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Tierney shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Home / Away
Tierney
Dowd
Home
62.3% (77)
46.3% (492)
Away
53.8% (117)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Tierney
Dowd
P1
61.1%
49.1%
P2
60.0%
48.2%
P3
49.1%
46.9%
Final 5 min
62.5%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
57.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2024 | 2 | 14:48 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 01:54 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |