Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 50.8% vs Dowd 51.6% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 58.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 52.7%
Neutral zone
Tierney 56.7%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Tierney
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Tierney
Dowd
Last 6: Tierney 4-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Tierney
Dowd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (844)
51.2% (381)
+0.9%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
100.0% (2)
-49.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (124)
53.9% (89)
-11.2%
On power play, Dowd has a +49.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Tierney is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Tierney shoots left. Dowd is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Tierney
Dowd
Home
51.2% (521)
54.6% (218)
Away
50.6% (522)
49.6% (254)
By Period
Tierney
Dowd
P1
49.3%
50.6%
P2
50.4%
55.1%
P3
53.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2019 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 11:32 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 06:41 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |