Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.8% vs Stastny 55.4% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 72.9%
Defensive zone
Tierney 51.6%
Neutral zone
Stastny 62.4%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Tierney
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tierney
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (454)
59.2% (370)
-8.8%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
40.9% (44)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
51.7% (58)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Tierney is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (315).
Tierney shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Tierney
Stastny
Home
53.3% (289)
57.7% (215)
Away
45.5% (242)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Tierney
Stastny
P1
50.9%
57.7%
P2
46.7%
54.2%
P3
52.1%
57.7%
Final 5 min
44.6%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 15:29 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |