Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Stastny 55.1% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 26-25 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 61.1%
Defensive zone
Tierney 71.6%
Neutral zone
Tierney 57.6%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Tierney
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
26
(51 meetings)
25
26
Tierney
Stastny
Last 10: Tierney 6-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
8
12
Tierney
Stastny
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
9
4
Tierney
Stastny
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
8
10
Tierney
Stastny
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
54.6% (10,616)
-5.3%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
59.1% (1,994)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
52.9% (1,119)
-6.3%
On power play, Stastny has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Tierney is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,137).
Tierney shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Tierney
Stastny
Home
50.6% (3,270)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Tierney
Stastny
P1
49.3%
56.3%
P2
47.7%
55.4%
P3
50.5%
53.5%
OT
47.4%
62.9%
Final 5 min
46.7%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 15:29 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 12:01 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 19:51 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 14:12 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 03:23 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 14:48 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 04:04 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 1 | 03:00 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 06:19 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 18:04 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 16:39 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 03:30 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 15:10 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |