Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs Stastny 56.3% (-10.6%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 76.5%
Defensive zone
Tierney 72.2%
Neutral zone
Tierney 50.8%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Tierney
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
57.5% (412)
-10.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
60.0% (65)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
44.4% (9)
+3.1%
On even strength, Stastny has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Tierney is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Tierney shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Tierney
Stastny
Home
47.9% (121)
58.3% (276)
Away
46.1% (115)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Tierney
Stastny
P1
44.1%
63.7%
P2
50.0%
57.3%
P3
46.3%
50.4%
Final 5 min
52.4%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%