Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.8% vs Johansen 52.4% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 71.6%
Defensive zone
Tierney 56.2%
Neutral zone
Johansen 54.7%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Tierney
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Tierney
Johansen
Last 6: Tierney 4-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Tierney
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
4
1
Tierney
Johansen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (454)
49.4% (1,010)
+1.0%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
62.3% (236)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
67.2% (67)
-30.4%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +30.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Tierney is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Tierney shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Tierney
Johansen
Home
53.3% (289)
54.7% (655)
Away
45.5% (242)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Tierney
Johansen
P1
50.9%
52.2%
P2
46.7%
50.7%
P3
52.1%
54.8%
Final 5 min
44.6%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 16:53 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 15:09 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 14:45 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 10:38 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 01:14 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |