Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 38.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs Johansen 58.2% (-12.2%)
Offensive zone
Johansen 77.1%
Defensive zone
Tierney 73.4%
Neutral zone
Tierney 51.4%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Tierney
Johansen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
59.8% (625)
-13.2%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
58.2% (196)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
51.9% (27)
-4.4%
On even strength, Johansen has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Tierney is 38.6% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Tierney shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Tierney
Johansen
Home
47.9% (121)
60.3% (436)
Away
46.1% (115)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Tierney
Johansen
P1
44.1%
61.3%
P2
50.0%
60.4%
P3
46.3%
56.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%