Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 16 meetings). Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Johansen 53.3% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 29-21 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Tierney 54.5%
Defensive zone
Tierney 80.2%
Neutral zone
Tierney 64.2%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Tierney
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
29
(50 meetings)
21
29
Tierney
Johansen
Last 10: Tierney 7-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
4
12
Tierney
Johansen
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
10
8
Tierney
Johansen
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
7
9
Tierney
Johansen
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
53.1% (11,017)
-3.8%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
56.2% (2,163)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
50.5% (978)
-3.9%
On power play, Johansen has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Tierney
Johansen
Home
50.6% (3,270)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Tierney
Johansen
P1
49.3%
53.2%
P2
47.7%
53.9%
P3
50.5%
52.8%
OT
47.4%
58.2%
Final 5 min
46.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 13:36 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 05:09 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 09:45 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 16:53 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 15:09 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 14:45 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 10:38 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 01:14 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 14:07 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 18:21 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 12:31 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 09:11 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 01:35 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |