Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.8% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 62.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 64.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 61.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Tierney
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Tierney
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Tierney
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (454)
56.6% (1,064)
-6.2%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
60.4% (260)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
54.0% (261)
-17.2%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Tierney is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (315).
Tierney shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Tierney
O'Reilly
Home
53.3% (289)
54.9% (801)
Away
45.5% (242)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Tierney
O'Reilly
P1
50.9%
58.0%
P2
46.7%
56.7%
P3
52.1%
55.4%
Final 5 min
44.6%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:31 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 10:46 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |