Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 59.7% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 54.8% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 62.8%
Defensive zone
Tierney 79.2%
Neutral zone
Tierney 51.8%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 79.2%
79.2%
20.8%
Tierney
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Tierney
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (179)
55.0% (1,084)
+2.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
56.8% (303)
-56.8%
Penalty Kill
64.3% (14)
40.3% (149)
+24.0%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +56.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Tierney is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Tierney shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Tierney
O'Reilly
Home
62.3% (77)
54.8% (759)
Away
53.8% (117)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Tierney
O'Reilly
P1
61.1%
55.3%
P2
60.0%
51.9%
P3
49.1%
54.2%
Final 5 min
62.5%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
57.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 04:26 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |