Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.8% vs Lorentz 47.6% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 50.4%
Defensive zone
Tierney 74.6%
Neutral zone
Tierney 69.3%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Tierney
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tierney
Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (454)
46.5% (101)
+3.9%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
33.3% (3)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
37.5% (8)
-0.7%
On power play, Tierney has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Tierney is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (315).
Tierney shoots left. Lorentz is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Tierney
Lorentz
Home
53.3% (289)
49.1% (53)
Away
45.5% (242)
42.4% (59)
By Period
Tierney
Lorentz
P1
50.9%
48.6%
P2
46.7%
36.7%
P3
52.1%
57.7%
Final 5 min
44.6%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 02:54 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |