Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 59.7% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 54.8% vs Lorentz 49.4% (+8.3%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 62.2%
Defensive zone
Tierney 52.7%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 50.3%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Tierney
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (179)
48.9% (135)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
64.3% (14)
50.0% (4)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Tierney is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Tierney shoots left. Lorentz is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Tierney
Lorentz
Home
62.3% (77)
50.7% (75)
Away
53.8% (117)
46.9% (64)
By Period
Tierney
Lorentz
P1
61.1%
60.0%
P2
60.0%
46.3%
P3
49.1%
44.0%
Final 5 min
62.5%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
57.2%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.9%