Scouting Report
Tyler Toffoli holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.8% vs Toffoli 50.7% (-3.2%)
Offensive zone
Toffoli 58.2%
Defensive zone
Tierney 67.1%
Neutral zone
Tierney 58.9%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Tierney
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (454)
62.5% (24)
-12.1%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
33.3% (6)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
25.0% (4)
+11.8%
On power play, Tierney has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Tierney is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Tierney shoots left. Toffoli is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Home / Away
Tierney
Toffoli
Home
53.3% (289)
52.9% (17)
Away
45.5% (242)
52.9% (17)
By Period
Tierney
Toffoli
P1
50.9%
58.3%
P2
46.7%
50.0%
P3
52.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.6%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
52.9%