Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +19.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 54.8% vs Toffoli 45.0% (+19.2%)
Offensive zone
Toffoli 75.3%
Defensive zone
Tierney 78.7%
Neutral zone
Tierney 50.2%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Tierney
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (179)
39.0% (59)
+18.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
36.4% (11)
-36.4%
Penalty Kill
64.3% (14)
0.0% (1)
+64.3%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +64.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Tierney is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Tierney shoots left. Toffoli is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (51).
Home / Away
Tierney
Toffoli
Home
62.3% (77)
35.1% (37)
Away
53.8% (117)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Tierney
Toffoli
P1
61.1%
46.4%
P2
60.0%
26.9%
P3
49.1%
41.2%
Final 5 min
62.5%
26.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
57.2%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
38.0%