Scouting Report
Tyler Toffoli holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 38.6% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs Toffoli 50.9% (-11.3%)
Offensive zone
Toffoli 58.0%
Defensive zone
Tierney 65.3%
Neutral zone
Tierney 53.4%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Tierney
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
62.5% (8)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
50.0% (4)
-2.5%
On even strength, Toffoli has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Tierney is 38.6% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Tierney shoots left. Toffoli is 77.8% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Tierney
Toffoli
Home
47.9% (121)
80.0% (5)
Away
46.1% (115)
42.9% (7)
By Period
Tierney
Toffoli
P1
44.1%
60.0%
P2
50.0%
75.0%
P3
46.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.4%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
58.3%