Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Wagner wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 53.1% vs Tavares 58.7% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 87.9%
Defensive zone
Tavares 54.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 71.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Wagner
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Wagner
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
1
0
Wagner
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (44)
59.2% (1,035)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
42.9% (7)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, Wagner has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Wagner is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (48).
Wagner shoots right. Tavares is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Wagner
Tavares
Home
63.9% (36)
57.5% (668)
Away
50.0% (26)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Wagner
Tavares
P1
66.7%
58.0%
P2
37.5%
60.1%
P3
64.0%
61.0%
Final 5 min
63.2%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
58.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |