Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Wagner wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 47.1% vs Tavares 57.7% (-13.9%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 80.8%
Defensive zone
Wagner 68.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 61.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Wagner
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (77)
57.7% (998)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (31)
56.4% (39)
-4.8%
On even strength, Tavares has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Wagner is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Wagner shoots right. Tavares is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Home / Away
Wagner
Tavares
Home
46.3% (54)
59.7% (610)
Away
42.6% (54)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Wagner
Tavares
P1
48.6%
57.2%
P2
55.9%
58.5%
P3
30.8%
59.4%
Final 5 min
40.0%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
44.4%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%