Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Tavares 54.4% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Wagner leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 92.5%
Defensive zone
Wagner 71.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 70.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Wagner
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Wagner
Tavares
Last 10: Wagner 6-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
4
Wagner
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
4
1
Wagner
Tavares
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wagner
4
1
Wagner
Tavares
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
54.0% (16,108)
-3.2%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
56.5% (4,283)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
50.6% (620)
-8.6%
On power play, Tavares has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Wagner is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Wagner shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Home / Away
Wagner
Tavares
Home
49.8% (817)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
47.9% (753)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Wagner
Tavares
P1
48.6%
55.0%
P2
48.6%
54.1%
P3
49.5%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
49.2%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 2 | 16:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 00:13 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 3 | 05:47 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 2 | 13:06 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 2 | 03:44 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 2 | 03:39 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 17:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 2 | 05:39 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 2 | 05:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 1 | 15:56 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 2 | 04:51 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |