Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +19.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Novak 45.6% (-19.5%)
Offensive zone
Novak 62.5%
Defensive zone
Novak 61.4%
Neutral zone
Novak 59.0%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Wagner
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
25.0% (4)
43.8% (384)
-18.8%
On even strength, Novak has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Wagner is 0.0% vs left-shot opponents (2).
Wagner shoots right. Novak is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
By Period
Wagner
Novak
P2
0.0%
44.2%
P3
33.3%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
25.0%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.5%