Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.7% vs 55.9%). Dvorak wins 58.2% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Ryan 54.9% (+0.8%)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 62.7%
Defensive zone
Ryan 62.2%
Neutral zone
Ryan 52.4%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Dvorak
Ryan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
60.2% (387)
-4.5%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
28.6% (7)
+32.5%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
43.2% (118)
+14.2%
On power play, Dvorak has a +32.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Dvorak is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Dvorak shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Ryan
Home
59.0% (432)
56.7% (254)
Away
54.8% (535)
55.0% (258)
By Period
Dvorak
Ryan
P1
58.7%
56.9%
P2
53.9%
51.7%
P3
57.2%
59.2%
OT
70.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%