Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.8% vs Ryan 50.0% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 64.3%
Defensive zone
Ryan 54.4%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 52.0%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Dvorak
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Dvorak
Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
1
Dvorak
Ryan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (686)
50.9% (344)
+1.3%
Power Play
49.0% (104)
75.0% (4)
-26.0%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (127)
45.3% (86)
+8.2%
On power play, Ryan has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Dvorak is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Dvorak shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Ryan
Home
54.1% (423)
53.7% (214)
Away
50.2% (494)
46.4% (220)
By Period
Dvorak
Ryan
P1
51.4%
45.0%
P2
52.0%
50.0%
P3
52.4%
54.6%
Final 5 min
49.6%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2023 | 3 | 02:27 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 08:14 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 05:44 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |