Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Ryan 57.4% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 53.1%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 61.3%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 50.0%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Dvorak
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Dvorak
Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Ryan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
61.4% (220)
-5.0%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
100.0% (1)
-31.0%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
51.7% (29)
-1.1%
On power play, Ryan has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Dvorak is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Dvorak shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Ryan
Home
55.1% (501)
64.2% (137)
Away
56.4% (559)
55.8% (113)
By Period
Dvorak
Ryan
P1
55.8%
58.9%
P2
52.5%
62.8%
P3
58.2%
59.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 16:52 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 05:52 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |