Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.3% vs Carter 54.6% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 72.1%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 75.1%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 74.0%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Dvorak
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Dvorak
Carter
Last 10: Dvorak 2-8 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
3
Dvorak
Carter
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
3
Dvorak
Carter
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
5
Dvorak
Carter
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (943)
53.1% (307)
-1.9%
Power Play
51.6% (122)
62.5% (64)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (74)
70.4% (27)
-17.7%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Dvorak is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (418).
Dvorak shoots left. Carter is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Carter
Home
53.9% (523)
58.9% (285)
Away
49.2% (616)
47.8% (113)
By Period
Dvorak
Carter
P1
56.7%
54.9%
P2
50.0%
57.5%
P3
46.7%
56.0%
OT
83.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 16:26 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 16:11 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 10:53 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 15:29 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 14:19 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 09:02 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 08:55 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 08:45 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 01:32 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 04:17 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 09:46 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |